Source: PRESS RELEASE

 

                       CAI REDUCES ITS CROP ESTIMATE FOR 2018-19 SEASON TO 330 LAKH BALES

 

 

Cotton Association of India (CAI) has released its January 2019 estimate of the cotton crop for the season 2018-19 beginning from 1st October 2018.

The CAI has estimated cotton crop for 2018-19 season at 330 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each which is lower by 5 lakh bales than its previous estimate of 335 lakh bales made during last month.  Statements containing the State-wise estimate of the cotton crop and the Balance Sheet for the crop year 2018-19 with the corresponding data for the previous year are enclosed.  The CAI has reduced the crop estimate for Telangana by 2.50 lakh bales, Andhra Pradesh by 50,000 bales and Karnataka by 2 lakh bales. 

The main reason for lower crop is that in the Southern Zone farmers have uprooted their cotton plants due to moisture deficiency as a result of which there is no scope for 3rd and 4th pickings. 

The total cotton supply projected by the CAI during the months of October 2018 to January 2019 is 198.80 lakh bales, which consists of the arrival of 170.32 lakh bales upto 31st January 2019, imports of 5.48 lakh bales upto 31st January 2019 and the opening stock at the beginning of the season estimated by the Committee at 23 lakh bales.

Further, the CAI has estimated cotton consumption during the months of October 2018 to January 2019 at 105.34 lakh bales while the export shipment of cotton upto 31st January 2019 has been estimated at 24 lakh bales.  Stock at the end of January 2019 is estimated by the CAI at 69.46 lakh bales including 39 lakh bales with textile mills and the remaining 30.46 lakh bales with CCI and others (MNCs, traders, ginners, etc.).

The CAI has also projected yearly Balance Sheet for the cotton season 2018-19 wherein total cotton supply till end of the cotton season i.e. upto 30th September 2019 has been estimated at 380 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each consisting of the opening stock of 23 lakh bales at the beginning of the season, cotton crop for the season estimated at 330 lakh bales and imports estimated by the CAI at 27 lakh bales,  which are higher by 12 lakh bales compared to the previous year’s import estimated at 15 lakh bales.   The CAI has estimated domestic consumption of 316 lakh bales which is lower by 4 lakh bales compared to the consumption figure estimated during the last month, while the CAI has estimated exports for the season 2018-19 at 50 lakh bales, which are lower by 19 lakh bales compared to the export of 69 lakh bales estimated during the last year.  The carry-over stock at the end of the 2018-19 season is estimated by the CAI at 14 lakh bales.

 

  (Atul S. Ganatra)
    Mumbai     President     
7th February 2019  

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON CROP ESTIMATE FOR THE SEASON 2017-18 AND 2018-19
Estimated as on 31st January 2019
State           Arrivals As on             31st January 2019
2018-19 2017-18 2018-19
    Total      Total  Total 
Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons) Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons)
Punjab 7.50 2.50 10.00 170.00 6.50 2.50 9.00 153.00 6.01 102.17
Haryana 22.00 3.00 25.00 425.00 20.60 3.00 23.60 401.20 17.12 291.04
Upper Rajasthan 11.45 0.55 12.00 204.00 10.60 0.55 11.15 189.55 10.45 177.65
Lower Rajasthan 12.45 0.55 13.00 221.00 11.70 0.55 12.25 208.25 11.07 188.19
Total North Zone 53.40 6.60 60.00 1020.00 49.40 6.60 56.00 952.00 44.65 759.05
                     
Gujarat 80.30 3.20 83.50 1419.50 101.80 3.20 105.00 1785.00 37.70 640.90
Maharashtra 71.25 5.75 77.00 1309.00 77.25 5.75 83.00 1411.00 34.60 588.20
Madhya Pradesh 23.55 0.70 24.25 412.25 20.80 0.70 21.50 365.50 15.50 263.50
Total Central Zone 175.10 9.65 184.75 3140.75 199.85 9.65 209.50 3561.50 87.80 1492.60
                     
Telangana 44.40 0.60 45.00 765.00 50.90 0.60 51.50 875.50 23.50 399.50
Andhra Pradesh 10.10 5.90 16.00 272.00 12.60 5.90 18.50 314.50 5.55 94.35
Karnataka 13.90 1.10 15.00 255.00 17.65 1.10 18.75 318.75 6.50 110.50
Tamil Nadu 2.80 2.20 5.00 85.00 3.55 2.20 5.75 97.75              1.00 17.00
Total South Zone 71.20 9.80 81.00 1377.00 84.70 9.80 94.50 1606.50 36.55 621.35
                     
Orissa 3.20            0.05 3.25 55.25 3.95             0.05 4.00 68.00              1.22 20.74
Others 1.00               -   1.00 17.00 1.00                -   1.00 17.00              0.10 1.70
                     
Grand Total 303.90 26.10 330.00 5610.00 338.90 26.10 365.00 6205.00 170.32 2895.44

 

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON BALANCE SHEET FOR THE SEASON 2017-18 AND 2018-19
Estimated as on 31st January 2019
 
Details 2018-19 2017-18
(in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons) (in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons)
Supply        
   Opening Stock 23.00 391.00 36.00 612.00
   Crop 330.00 5610.00 365.00 6205.00
   Imports 27.00 459.00 15.00 255.00
Total Supply 380.00 6460.00 416.00 7072.00
Demand        
   Mill Consumption 276.00 4692.00 280.00 4760.00
   Consumption by SSI Units 28.00 476.00 29.00 493.00
   Non- Mill Consumption 12.00 204.00 15.00 255.00
Total  Domestic Demand 316.00 5372.00 324.00 5508.00
   Available Surplus 64.00 1088.00 92.00 1564.00
   Exports 50.00 850.00 69.00 1173.00
Closing Stock 14.00 238.00  23.00 391.00

 

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
Balance Sheet of 4 months i.e. from 1.10.2018 to 31.01.2019
for the season 2018-19
     
Details (in lakh b/s of 170 kg) (in '000 Tons)
     
Opening Stock as on 01.10.2018 23.00 391.00
Arrivals upto 31.01.2019 170.32 2895.44
Imports upto 31.01.2019 5.48 93.16
Total Available 198.80 3379.60
     
Consumption  105.34 1790.78
Export Shipment upto 31.01.2019 24.00 408.00
Stock with Mills 39.00 663.00
Stock with CCI, MNCs & Ginners 30.46 517.82
Total 198.80 3379.60

 

 

 

AS PER COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
STOCK ON 31.01.2019
    (Figures in lakh bales of  170 kg.)  
           
STATE GINNERS MNC CCI MCX TOTAL
PUNJAB 0.25 0.05 NIL NIL 0.30
HARYANA 0.55 0.05 NIL NIL 0.60
RAJASTHAN 2.25 0.25 NIL NIL 2.50
GUJARAT 6.84 1.50 0.30 0.38 9.02
MAHARASHTRA 3.08 2.00 0.90 0.60 6.58
ANDHRA PRADESH 0.25 NIL 0.05 NIL 0.30
TELANGANA 1.50 1.25 5.75 0.06 8.56
MADHYA PRADESH 1.10 NIL 0.40 NIL 1.50
ORISSA 0.30 NIL 0.25 NIL 0.55
KARNATAKA 0.50 NIL 0.05 NIL 0.55
TOTAL 16.62 5.10 7.70 1.04 30.46